Dear Eric Brunner-Williams,

If you are referring to the Scenarios shown in the third column,  Item # 40 is a scenario outlined by Robert Guerra. 

Here is the complete list

BC  - # 1 - 10
SSAC  # 11
Weill  # 12-20  (Can't find the email / document where Weill had outlined these scenarios. Robert, do you have the original mail from Weill that listed 12-20, please ? )
Olivier # 21 -34
Siva  # 35-39
Robert # 40
Siva # 41- 45

As for the mitigation options, Olivier's options are copied against 29 -32,  I started outlining some preventive / mitigation strategies for the rest of the scenarios and waiting for participation.

Thank you
Sivasubramanian M


On Wed, Jan 14, 2015 at 8:09 AM, Eric Brunner-Williams <ebw@abenaki.wabanaki.net> wrote:
Siva,

Thanks again. Is there a reason why Robert is identified separately? Is his contribution (your #40) made separately from those (not yet present in your list) made by the SSAC?

Eric


On 1/13/15 5:44 PM, Sivasubramanian M wrote:
Thanks Eric.  Did some more work. 

The authors are:

Olivier Crepin-LeBlond
Robert Guerra
Business Constituency
Mathieu Weill
SSAC


On Wed, Jan 14, 2015 at 6:44 AM, Eric Brunner-Williams <ebw@abenaki.wabanaki.net> wrote:
Siva,

I'll pick those up tomorrow. Could you confirm who the authors of these are, e.g., the "Olivier", the "Robert", etc., in case there is a need for clarification.

Thanks in advance,
Eric


On 1/13/15 12:40 PM, Sivasubramanian M wrote:
Thank You Eric.  I have added four more scenarios and wrote down some preventive / mitigation pointers. 


On Wed, Jan 14, 2015 at 1:04 AM, Eric Brunner-Williams <ebw@abenaki.wabanaki.net> wrote:
Colleagues,

During yesterday's ConCall Sivasubramanian M provided a link to a set of contingencies / scenarios he is managing. For my own purposes I've used some of each of his contingencies / scenarios to form a short, and possibly relevant identifier.

This note is simply informative, providing the URL of the original, below my personal short identifiers, to allow Mr. Sivasubramanian to know that I'm reading his document, and to provide you all with the URL for your own purposes.

Eric Brunner-Williams
Eugene, Oregon


     1    Cancellation of the AoC
     2    Flight to avoid jurisdiction
     3    Insolvency
     4    Applicant Support Revisited
     5    Ignoring SSAC
     6    GAC Votes
     7    .xxx redux
     8    Contested gTLD Redelegation
     9    Enjoined Delegation
    10    Contested ccTLD Redelegation
    11    Governmental sanctions and restrictions
    12    Domain industry financial crisis
    13    Significant financial contributor fee escrow
    14    Competing new technology
    15    Governance crisis
    16    Major corruption or fraud
    17    Antitrust or class action
    18    Chairman, CEO or major officer conduct
    19    Major personal data leak
    20    Financial crisis affecting Icann's reserves
    21    IANA Customer Standing Committee (CSC) failure
    22    IANA Periodic Review Team (PRT) failure
    23    Current IANA functions operator threatens litigation
    24    A stakeholder captures a multi-stakeholder committee
    25    A stakeholder ensures overwhelming control of processes
    26    A country captures the process of the PRT
    27    Members of the PRT have their lives threatened
    28    The PRT is overwhelmed with complaints
    29    Terrible appeals judgments by Independent Appeals Panel
    30    Current IANA functions operator threatens litigation
    31    Rogue Board
    32    Rogue Employees
    33    Contracting Entity refuses to follow policy or instructions from PRT
    34    Operator goes rogue
    35    ALAC and GNSO do not see eye to eye
    36    ccTLDs and gTLDs strongly disagree
    37    ccTLDs that are not part of ICANN oppose ccTLD policies and programs
    38    Escalated conflicts between ICANN Board and Staff
    39    Nomcom is highly politicized
    40    NTIA holds off transferring control until all conditions are met


https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QVC12Q-NuB35pyaBirUDF85DBR_oFHkEYC5vbWu04go/edit#heading=h.rraejy2i0t2g