All,
As support staff for the EWG, I can explain where that came from.
The 22% growth was just an assumption made back in 1Q 2014 by an IBM team
comparing costs for two next-gen RDS models then under consideration by
the EWG.
O'Connor included his own 2018 data later in the article Erika
cited:
https://www.haven2.com/index.php/archives/are-projections-of-registration-growth-in-generic-top-level-domains-realistic
And while I'm at it, you can find ICANN's new gTLD program stats
here:
https://newgtlds.icann.org/en/program-status/statistics
Regards,
Lisa
At 09:23 AM 3/8/2018, Erika Mann wrote:
I will look into this Alan. If
my memory is correct then these estimates came from ICANN - but I can be
wrong.
Erika
Sent from my iPhone
On Mar 8, 2018, at 10:49 AM, Alan Greenberg
<alan.greenberg@mcgill.ca
> wrote:
Clearly what I would refer to as
"Dreaming in Technicolor". But it is not clear to me from these
documents whose estimates these were.
Alan
At 08/03/2018 10:07 AM, Erika Mann wrote:
Interesting observations from
Mike O'Connor. Looking back to the beginning of the last round of new
TLDs and looking at today's data.
"Here̢۪s the reference that caught my eye:
> You can find this on page 150 of the newly-released Whois study —
doone by the Expert Woorking Group on gTLD Directory Services.
Here’s the link to the study —
https://www.icann.org/en/system/files/files/final-report-06jun14-en.pdf
The thing that struck me was that whopping 22% annual growth rate.
Partly this is due to some pretty optimistic assumptions about the growth
in the number of new gTLDs (I̢۪m willing to bet any mo money that the
beginning of 2015 will not see 200,000 gTLD domains in the root).
But leaving that aside, 22% year over year growth isn’™t something
we̢۪ve seen since pre-bubble glory days."
>
https://www.haven2.com/index.php/archives/are-projections-of-registration-growth-in-generic-top-level-domains-realistic
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